Finally making sense of Donald Trump
Analysts have been struggling to make sense of Trump’s erratic presidency. Is he a complete incompetent, or a brilliant strategist? The evidence for both cases is compelling. (more…)
Bayes’ Theorem, error and bias
What is the effect of using Bayes’ Theorem to combine multiple pieces of evidence, given the presence of error and bias in estimating the probabilities of evidence? Will the error grow or decrease as we add more evidence? (more…)
Marknadshyror leder till slum
Nio ekonomistudenter argumenterar på DN-Debatt 12/8 för marknadshyror. Deras recept skulle tveklöst leda till att vi i Sverige får tillbaka ren slum – precis som i alla de länder som tillämpar systemet. Länder med konsekvent hög boendestandard – som de nordiska länderna, Nederländerna och Schweiz – tillämpar alla hyresreglering. (more…)
Can Hillary handle a Trump vow to break up the banks?
The myth of SYRIZA failure in two graphs
The IMF claims that Greece was on its way to recovery, before SYRIZA ruined it. What is this based on? (more…)
Review: On the Historicity of Jesus
As a child, a teacher made me agree that even if all the Bible stories were fiction, there must still have been a real Jesus that the legend was built around. This conclusion was unsatisfactory, because how can we say that a man existed, if there is nothing specific we can know about him?
Is Jesus a Rank-Raglan hero?
Richard Carrier argues in his book On the Historicity of Jesus that Jesus fits exceptionally well into the Rank-Raglan hero classification. He claims no known historical figures do, making Jesus unlikely to have existed. I will examine these claims in detail. (more…)
Debunking ‘impossible’ interest theories
A lot of people, myself included, have become convinced that the financial sector has grown way too big. A popular theory that is making the rounds on the internet and in ‘alternative’ literature is that there is a fundamental mathematical problem involving debt and interest. (more…)